Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.028055 0.030136 0.032228 0.034486 0.036851 0.039253 0.041874
2026-01-18 0.024524 0.027815 0.031244 0.035071 0.039212 0.043546 0.048414
2026-01-25 0.021980 0.025955 0.030208 0.035070 0.040450 0.046198 0.052777
2026-02-01 0.020038 0.024496 0.029371 0.035058 0.041468 0.048428 0.056516
2026-02-08 0.018449 0.023271 0.028651 0.035038 0.042351 0.050405 0.059886
2026-02-15 0.017056 0.022155 0.027950 0.034941 0.043062 0.052117 0.062897
2026-02-22 0.015873 0.021198 0.027356 0.034895 0.043767 0.053772 0.065802
2026-03-01 0.014657 0.020123 0.026553 0.034539 0.044057 0.054905 0.068074
2026-03-08 0.013421 0.018950 0.025568 0.033907 0.043967 0.055555 0.069749
2026-03-15 0.012234 0.017772 0.024518 0.033139 0.043666 0.055915 0.071052
2026-03-22 0.011821 0.017553 0.024627 0.033765 0.045024 0.058223 0.074640
2026-03-29 0.011213 0.017047 0.024349 0.033888 0.045754 0.059773 0.077325
2026-04-05 0.010483 0.016375 0.023871 0.033790 0.046259 0.061119 0.079861
2026-04-12 0.010076 0.016124 0.023927 0.034369 0.047616 0.063519 0.083704
2026-04-19 0.009467 0.015561 0.023548 0.034368 0.048231 0.065005 0.086439
2026-04-26 0.008901 0.015026 0.023180 0.034357 0.048813 0.066441 0.089106
2026-05-03 0.008375 0.014518 0.022822 0.034337 0.049368 0.067831 0.091715
2026-05-10 0.007859 0.013997 0.022422 0.034241 0.049810 0.069070 0.094133
2026-05-17 0.007398 0.013529 0.022074 0.034196 0.050302 0.070363 0.096614
2026-05-24 0.006866 0.012929 0.021517 0.033845 0.050379 0.071121 0.098422
2026-05-31 0.006286 0.012220 0.020778 0.033221 0.050075 0.071379 0.099593
2026-06-07 0.005707 0.011480 0.019963 0.032464 0.049569 0.071358 0.100396
2026-06-14 0.005565 0.011428 0.020140 0.033081 0.050894 0.073688 0.104176